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Energy and Environmental Programs Speaker Series: Dr. Daniel Zachary

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When: November 8, 2018 @ 5:00 pm - 6:00 pm
Where: Energy Policy and Climate/Environmental Science and Policy Faculty Speaker Series

Description: The Energy and Environmental Programs Speaker Series is a lecture series of the Environmental Science and Policy (ESP) and Energy Policy and Climate (EPC) programs at Johns Hopkins University, Advanced Academic Programs.
The Speaker Series features policymakers, representatives from government agencies, leaders in the private sector, researchers, and academics to discuss critical issues in the fields of energy, climate change, and environmental science and policy.
Guest: Daniel Zachary, PhD
Program Director, MS in Energy Policy and Climate
Topic:
What if We Wait? Forecasting Response Time to Environmental Events and Global Climate Change
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has recently presented results showing that a unified international effort will be required to keep average global temperatures from raising more than 1.5℃. We turn to historical evidence to see if this is possible. We look at the historical evidence from environmental accidents and natural catastrophes and explore both the cost and the frequencies of events. A new statistical method, the ‘inverse Poisson functional’ is used to study this question. We present the technique, along with calculations from the DICE model (William Nordhaus – 2018 Nobel Laurent in Economics) and compare to IPCC predictions. The model shows that substantial reaction to global climate change (CO2 emissions extremum) will occur in 55 to 120 years (95% CI) with a model prediction of 80 years.
Contact E-mail: jdarosa@jhu.edu
Date and Time: Nov. 8, 2018
5:00 PM – 6:00 PM
Address: 1717 Massachusetts Ave NW, Washington, DC 20036
Room 204
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Location:
Energy Policy and Climate/Environmental Science and Policy Faculty Speaker Series
Johns Hopkins Washington, DC Center, 1717 Massachusetts Ave. NW (Room 204)
Washington, DC,