Egypt’s boom and bust demographics since Antiquity: A pattern for us?

Posted in Global Net Assessment


Like many data sources for our exploration of world crisis, this one does not occasion happy feelings:Egypt



However it speaks to a pervasive theme, that of natural population increase to a high “carrying point” — followed by big hits from climate change and pandemic, from which population levels do not recover for several centuries. This pattern was system-wide in both the 6th and 14th centuries, but it has been pervasive, so our chart tells, for Egyptian society across millennia. We should also recall that for four thousand years, Egypt was the richest society in the West — yet nonetheless could not escape ironclad historical cycles of boom and bust.